by admin | Mar 26, 2018 | Annual Outlook
The last month is the time of the year when people forward me various annual outlooks they have received from various sources and I am constantly being asked about the validity of forecast x vs forecast y. Being born in the year of the Dragon and accordingly having...
by admin | Jan 10, 2018 | Annual Outlook, Economics & Money
Economic predictions are a hard thing to do and a work in progress for me. I’ve been doing them for some time on my annual forecasts but of course, the proof of the pudding is always in the eating. Of late, I’ve been attempting to forecast pricing with...
by admin | Nov 13, 2017 | Annual Outlook, Learning BaZi
Most people learn BaZi in the hopes of saving a few bucks on a professional Annual Assessment. Some people learn BaZi in order to be able to engage in an Annual Assessment of the people around them – a strategic competitive advantage as it were. However, most...
by admin | Feb 3, 2017 | Annual Outlook
So officially today, we Enter the Rooster. Or do we? I am not yet convinced that what we are seeing (especially in the USA under Trump) represents the Rooster. Rather, this is the vestiges of the Bing Shen finally showing its true colours (with some intermingling of...
by admin | Aug 18, 2016 | Annual Outlook
So usually I write this at the same time as my annual forecast but hey, stuff happens and this sort of fell along the back burner. So at the risk of the usual hindsight is 20-20 comments, I’m publishing this anyway, six months late. (better late than never...
by admin | Dec 9, 2015 | Annual Outlook
There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it’s been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey – Daniel Kahneman IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: My...
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